Posts tonen met het label Facebook. Alle posts tonen
Posts tonen met het label Facebook. Alle posts tonen

zondag, februari 03, 2019

Facebook 18Q4 growth & margin analysis

Users

Take-away: return to growth in Europe, approaching saturation in N-America.
  • DAU: slight growth in N-America, return to growth in Europe. Higher growth in Asia and RoW.
  • MAU: same, except stable in N-America.
  • DAU/MAU ratio almost stable at 65.6%.

ARPU

Take-away: growth still high, payments making a leap in N-America.
  • Advertising: highest growth in N-America, down just slightly
  • Payments: big jump in N-America (+51.0%), less in Europe (+13.3%).

Growth

Take-away: growth down just slightly qoq, mobile ads still growing bigger, Oculus (and Portal) starting to become meaningful.
  • Overall growth was down to 30.4%.
    • By source: mobile ads up to 91.5%, desktop ads down to 6.9%, payments and other up to 1.6%.
    • By geography: N-America up (49.9%), Europe up (24.5%), Asia down (16.3%), RoW down (9.3%)
  • Geographic area yoy growth was down a few points from 18Q3, most of all in Europe.
    • Hence yoy revenue contribution from Europe was down, but qoq it was up.
  • Advertising growth (30.2%) was down from 18Q3.
    • Mobile ads growth down slightly (+36.1%).
    • Desktop ads growth down sharply (-17.1%).
    • Mobile/desktop now 93/7.
    • Geographic growth similar to overall geographic growth.
  • Payments and Other Fees was up sharply (+42.0%), probably of Oculus (and Portla) sales (less on reduced desktop games).
    • Sharp growth in N-America and Asia (both 54.5%). Europe much slower (+18.5%). RoW still down (-14.3%).
    • Contribution to total revenue still small but up (1.6%).
Margins

Take-away: efforts directed at fake news and privacy take a toll; hardware has lower margins.
  • Gross margin 83.5% (down from 87.6% last year). Probably on higher scrutiny expenses and lower margins on hardware.
  • EBIT margin 46.2% (down from 56.7% last year). Mainly up from increased Marketing and Sales (14.6% of sales vs. 10.6% last year).
  • Employee count at 35,587 (+1,981 qoq, +42% yoy).
  • Productivity: revenue per employee $163k (down from $179k last year).

maandag, mei 14, 2018

Facebook restructuring into 3 divisions

3 Divisions

  • Family of Apps (CPO Chris Cox))
    • Facebook (Will Cathcart)
    • Instagram (CEO Kevin Systrom)
    • Messenger (Stan Chudnovsky)
    • WhatsApp (VP Chris Daniels)
  • New Platforms & Infrastructure (CTO Mike Schroepfer)
    • AI (Jerome Pesenti)
    • AR/VR (Andrew Bosworth)
    • Blockchain tech (David Marcus)
    • Engineering/Infra/Privacy (Jay Parikh)
  • Central Product Services (shared features across products & apps, VP of Growth Javier Olivan)
    • Ads (Mark Rabkin)
    • Analytics (Alex Schultz)
    • Integrity/growth/product management (Naomi Gleit)
Other
  • Establishes team to integrate privacy into products, 300 employees.
  • Rumor: plans cryptocurrency.
  • Appoints Jeff Zients to Board.
  • Rebrands Oculus Research to Facebook Reality Labs.

maandag, maart 20, 2017

Facebook's CPE efforts are coming none too soon

According to rumors, Facebook will launch a range of CPE/hardware at next month's developer conference in San Jose (April 18-19), through its hardware division Building 8 (established at last year's conference).

It makes sense in a number of ways

  • Trend. All internet majors (Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Facebook) engage in hardware development. It's a new market, they are flush with cash and they know precisely what their users do.
  • Cross-selling. With the exception of Apple, selling hardware is aimed at growing sales in an adjacent area.
  • Vertical intergration. As such, it is a form of vertical integration, capturing a larger part of the value chain.
  • Diversification. Facebook's revenues are 98.0% from ads (2.0% from payments & other fees). Diversification, in light of the inevitable growth slow-down, is coming none too soon. In fact, the other majors are way ahead of Facebook in this respect.